Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.2% vs Pavelski 51.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 60.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 59.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Haula
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Haula
Pavelski
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
6
Haula
Pavelski
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Haula
Pavelski
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
5
2
Haula
Pavelski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (388)
53.5% (508)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.6% (47)
51.7% (118)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (55)
41.4% (70)
-1.4%
On power play, Haula has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Haula is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Haula shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Haula
Pavelski
Home
57.6% (210)
54.3% (372)
Away
53.2% (280)
49.4% (324)
By Period
Haula
Pavelski
P1
55.5%
48.7%
P2
54.8%
57.7%
P3
55.1%
50.2%
OT
54.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2021 | OT | 04:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | OT | 01:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Erik Haula |