Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Toews 60.2% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Haula
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Haula
Toews
Last 8: Haula 5-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (696)
62.4% (692)
-12.4%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
59.3% (135)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
46.9% (32)
-2.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Haula is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Haula shoots left. Toews is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Haula
Toews
Home
48.6% (426)
60.9% (435)
Away
51.6% (401)
61.8% (424)
By Period
Haula
Toews
P1
52.4%
60.2%
P2
51.2%
65.7%
P3
46.8%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |