Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Toews 61.9% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 53.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 59.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Haula
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Haula
Toews
Last 5: Haula 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Haula
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
61.1% (650)
-6.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
71.9% (192)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
59.6% (99)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Haula
Toews
Home
55.4% (520)
64.8% (560)
Away
53.1% (537)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Haula
Toews
P1
56.5%
62.3%
P2
53.3%
63.9%
P3
53.8%
62.8%
OT
25.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Erik Haula |