Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Toews 60.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 89.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Haula
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Haula
Toews
Last 8: Haula 5-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
62.5% (696)
-12.5%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
59.6% (141)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
46.9% (32)
-2.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Haula
Toews
Home
48.6% (426)
60.9% (435)
Away
51.6% (411)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Haula
Toews
P1
52.2%
59.8%
P2
51.5%
65.7%
P3
46.7%
58.8%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |