Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.6% vs Barzal 41.4% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 76.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 87.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 86.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Haula
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
Barzal
Last 5: Haula 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (516)
40.4% (456)
+9.8%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
34.2% (38)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (39)
28.6% (7)
+20.1%
On power play, Haula has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Haula is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Haula shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Haula
Barzal
Home
49.8% (321)
38.0% (242)
Away
51.7% (292)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Haula
Barzal
P1
51.8%
46.6%
P2
50.5%
35.4%
P3
49.7%
38.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.7%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Erik Haula |