Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 80.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 96.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 95.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Haula
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Haula
Barzal
Last 10: Haula 8-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
3
Haula
Barzal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
1
Haula
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
41.9% (3,565)
+11.0%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
43.4% (205)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
42.3% (26)
+1.2%
On power play, Haula has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Haula
Barzal
Home
53.4% (4,478)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Haula
Barzal
P1
53.2%
40.7%
P2
51.4%
44.4%
P3
52.7%
41.0%
OT
43.5%
27.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Erik Haula |