Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Barzal 46.9% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 81.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 82.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 90.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Haula
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
Barzal
Last 5: Haula 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
46.6% (483)
+6.1%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
40.9% (22)
+30.5%
On power play, Haula has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Haula is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Haula shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Haula
Barzal
Home
54.0% (404)
49.6% (242)
Away
53.7% (402)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Haula
Barzal
P1
50.8%
42.4%
P2
55.0%
49.5%
P3
55.1%
47.7%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |