Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Backlund 50.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 53.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Haula
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Haula
Backlund
Last 7: Haula 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Haula
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Haula
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
51.5% (983)
+1.2%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
49.4% (87)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
45.3% (159)
+6.9%
On power play, Haula has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Haula is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Haula shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Haula
Backlund
Home
54.0% (404)
51.6% (653)
Away
53.7% (402)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Haula
Backlund
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
49.8%
P3
55.1%
51.7%
OT
80.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |