Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 66.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Haula
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
51.9% (547)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
54.1% (37)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
53.3% (92)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Haula
Roy
Home
48.6% (426)
54.0% (328)
Away
51.6% (411)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Haula
Roy
P1
52.2%
53.5%
P2
51.5%
51.6%
P3
46.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |