Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Roy 48.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 60.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 62.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Haula
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Haula
Roy
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Haula
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
5
Haula
Roy
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
4
3
Haula
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
48.7% (3,719)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
49.5% (283)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
45.5% (477)
-2.0%
On power play, Haula has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Haula
Roy
Home
53.4% (4,478)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Haula
Roy
P1
53.2%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
46.3%
P3
52.7%
48.1%
OT
43.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |