Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 72.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 70.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 69.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Haula
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
28
(48 meetings)
20
28
Haula
O'Reilly
Last 10: Haula 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
16
Haula
O'Reilly
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
12
3
Haula
O'Reilly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
9
Haula
O'Reilly
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.3%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
58.8% (3,445)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
51.4% (2,811)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Haula
O'Reilly
Home
53.4% (4,478)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Haula
O'Reilly
P1
53.2%
55.6%
P2
51.4%
57.0%
P3
52.7%
55.1%
OT
43.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 04:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |