Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 69.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 55.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Haula
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Haula
O'Reilly
Last 9: Haula 4-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Haula
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
0
Haula
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Haula
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
56.2% (983)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
55.5% (254)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
52.0% (102)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Haula
O'Reilly
Home
54.2% (345)
56.2% (697)
Away
51.1% (374)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Haula
O'Reilly
P1
55.8%
54.5%
P2
48.0%
55.5%
P3
54.1%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |