Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 53.9%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 69.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Haula
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Haula
O'Reilly
Last 10: Haula 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Haula
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
0
Haula
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Haula
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
55.0% (1,084)
+2.6%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
56.8% (303)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
40.3% (149)
+5.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Haula
O'Reilly
Home
56.3% (449)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.3% (443)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Haula
O'Reilly
P1
58.4%
55.3%
P2
54.9%
51.9%
P3
52.0%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 04:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |