Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 67.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 72.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 55.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Haula
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Haula
Gourde
Last 9: Haula 6-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
2
Haula
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
49.1% (847)
+5.4%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
79.5% (44)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
39.5% (81)
+5.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Haula
Gourde
Home
55.4% (520)
50.1% (491)
Away
53.1% (537)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Haula
Gourde
P1
56.5%
54.7%
P2
53.3%
45.0%
P3
53.8%
49.4%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Erik Haula |