Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 69.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 77.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 73.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Haula
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
48.0% (914)
+9.6%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
54.2% (48)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
43.9% (123)
+1.6%
On even strength, Haula has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Haula
Gourde
Home
56.3% (449)
50.2% (512)
Away
53.3% (443)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Haula
Gourde
P1
58.4%
50.0%
P2
54.9%
45.3%
P3
52.0%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |