Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 85.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 50.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 68.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Last 7: Fantilli 5-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
2
Fantilli
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
47.9% (637)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
47.9% (71)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.3% (67)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Home
50.8% (472)
48.3% (429)
Away
49.2% (480)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Fantilli
Rodrigues
P1
47.8%
48.3%
P2
52.7%
46.9%
P3
50.0%
45.6%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |