Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +25.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Barbashev 40.7% (+25.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 52.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 84.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 73.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
18.6% (43)
+29.3%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
42.9% (7)
+5.0%
On even strength, Rodrigues has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Barbashev is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Home
48.3% (429)
20.8% (24)
Away
45.4% (346)
23.1% (26)
By Period
Rodrigues
Barbashev
P1
48.3%
33.3%
P2
46.9%
6.7%
P3
45.6%
21.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |