Evan Rodrigues vs Ivan Barbashev
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 77.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 77.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 80.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Last 10: Rodrigues 9-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Barbashev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
42.0% (1,738)
+4.2%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
46.1% (89)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
36.7% (139)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Home
47.1% (1,820)
42.4% (932)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Rodrigues
Barbashev
P1
46.9%
40.7%
P2
46.1%
42.3%
P3
44.6%
42.3%
OT
48.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |