Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Barbashev 43.0% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 56.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 56.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 50.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Rodrigues
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
39.1% (128)
+15.3%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
36.4% (11)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
20.0% (5)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Home
47.9% (119)
40.0% (85)
Away
50.8% (122)
35.6% (59)
By Period
Rodrigues
Barbashev
P1
53.8%
35.8%
P2
51.9%
29.5%
P3
43.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%