Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 59.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Rodrigues
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Rodrigues
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
57.5% (914)
-3.1%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
60.5% (309)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
59.1% (22)
-23.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Tavares
Home
47.9% (119)
61.0% (661)
Away
50.8% (122)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Rodrigues
Tavares
P1
53.8%
58.6%
P2
51.9%
57.8%
P3
43.2%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |