Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Jankowski 53.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 52.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 57.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 56.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
4
Rodrigues
Jankowski
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Rodrigues
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
53.8% (515)
-5.9%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
41.7% (12)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
57.9% (38)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Jankowski is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Home
48.3% (429)
53.9% (310)
Away
45.4% (346)
53.7% (255)
By Period
Rodrigues
Jankowski
P1
48.3%
54.4%
P2
46.9%
55.7%
P3
45.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |