Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 90.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 62.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 73.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Rodrigues
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Rodrigues
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
58.6% (273)
-4.2%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
66.7% (3)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
43.3% (67)
-7.2%
On power play, Jankowski has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Home
47.9% (119)
54.7% (128)
Away
50.8% (122)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Rodrigues
Jankowski
P1
53.8%
54.5%
P2
51.9%
56.5%
P3
43.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |