Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 54.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 60.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 59.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
4
Rodrigues
Jankowski
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Rodrigues
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
54.1% (527)
-6.2%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
50.0% (14)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
57.5% (40)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Home
48.3% (429)
53.9% (310)
Away
45.4% (346)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Rodrigues
Jankowski
P1
48.3%
54.6%
P2
46.9%
56.3%
P3
45.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |