Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Bourque 47.1% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 66.7%
Defensive zone
Bourque 71.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 56.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Rodrigues
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
46.7% (321)
-1.1%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
33.3% (6)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Rodrigues is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bourque is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bourque
Home
46.5% (142)
51.0% (157)
Away
43.6% (140)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bourque
P1
42.9%
44.2%
P2
50.0%
44.7%
P3
42.4%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%