Evan Rodrigues vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.7%). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Bourque 46.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 69.3%
Defensive zone
Bourque 59.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 53.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Rodrigues
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Bourque
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
2
Rodrigues
Bourque
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Bourque
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
46.7% (508)
-0.5%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
27.3% (22)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
42.9% (28)
+0.0%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (978).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bourque is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bourque
Home
47.1% (1,820)
47.3% (262)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
44.3% (296)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bourque
P1
46.9%
42.4%
P2
46.1%
42.9%
P3
44.6%
50.7%
OT
48.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |