Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Frost 48.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 55.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 57.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Rodrigues
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rodrigues
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
47.4% (426)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
63.9% (36)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
20.0% (5)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Frost
Home
49.8% (215)
51.1% (221)
Away
44.4% (171)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Rodrigues
Frost
P1
44.2%
47.5%
P2
53.5%
52.3%
P3
44.6%
44.7%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |