Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Frost 55.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 79.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 68.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Rodrigues
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rodrigues
Frost
Last 6: Rodrigues 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Rodrigues
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rodrigues
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
54.9% (701)
-7.0%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
60.8% (166)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
100.0% (5)
-62.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +62.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Frost
Home
48.3% (429)
56.0% (443)
Away
45.4% (346)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Rodrigues
Frost
P1
48.3%
58.9%
P2
46.9%
55.3%
P3
45.6%
54.0%
OT
44.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |