Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Krebs 45.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 57.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 50.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Rodrigues
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Krebs
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
44.6% (388)
+3.3%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
25.0% (4)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
45.0% (20)
-7.7%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Krebs
Home
48.3% (429)
46.8% (188)
Away
45.4% (346)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Rodrigues
Krebs
P1
48.3%
47.2%
P2
46.9%
44.9%
P3
45.6%
41.1%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |