Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.7%). Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Krebs 45.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 65.0%
Defensive zone
Krebs 56.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Rodrigues
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Rodrigues
Krebs
Last 10: Rodrigues 4-6 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
3
Rodrigues
Krebs
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
4
Rodrigues
Krebs
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
46.0% (2,159)
+0.2%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
52.5% (99)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
38.6% (171)
+4.3%
On power play, Krebs has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Krebs
Home
47.1% (1,820)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Rodrigues
Krebs
P1
46.9%
45.9%
P2
46.1%
46.4%
P3
44.6%
44.8%
OT
48.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |