Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Strome 45.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 57.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 53.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Rodrigues
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rodrigues
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
44.2% (267)
+3.7%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
37.0% (27)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
50.0% (4)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Rodrigues shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Strome
Home
48.3% (429)
42.0% (157)
Away
45.4% (346)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Rodrigues
Strome
P1
48.3%
40.0%
P2
46.9%
46.4%
P3
45.6%
44.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |