Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 57.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Rodrigues
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Rodrigues
Strome
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Rodrigues
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Rodrigues
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
44.1% (6,839)
+2.1%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
49.3% (854)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
41.5% (410)
+1.4%
On power play, Strome has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (978).
Rodrigues shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Strome
Home
47.1% (1,820)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Rodrigues
Strome
P1
46.9%
44.0%
P2
46.1%
45.3%
P3
44.6%
44.3%
OT
48.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |