Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 62.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 68.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Rodrigues
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Rodrigues
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
51.6% (819)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
58.4% (173)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
46.3% (67)
-4.0%
On power play, Aho has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Aho
Home
49.8% (215)
53.9% (568)
Away
44.4% (171)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Rodrigues
Aho
P1
44.2%
55.4%
P2
53.5%
51.2%
P3
44.6%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |