Evan Rodrigues vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 88.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 75.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 76.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Rodrigues
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Rodrigues
Aho
Last 10: Rodrigues 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Rodrigues
Aho
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
11
1
Rodrigues
Aho
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Rodrigues
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
50.1% (6,619)
-3.9%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
58.9% (1,310)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
46.3% (464)
-3.4%
On power play, Aho has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Aho
Home
47.1% (1,820)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Rodrigues
Aho
P1
46.9%
51.1%
P2
46.1%
52.0%
P3
44.6%
50.7%
OT
48.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 04:17 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2019 | OT | 02:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |