Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kane wins 30.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 46.5% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 77.0%
Defensive zone
Kane 66.5%
Neutral zone
Kane 71.6%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Kane
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kane
O'Reilly
Last 7: Kane 2-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Kane
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (38)
58.6% (841)
-13.9%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
59.9% (207)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
58.1% (148)
-33.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kane is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Kane shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kane
O'Reilly
Home
37.0% (27)
59.8% (594)
Away
43.3% (30)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Kane
O'Reilly
P1
27.8%
61.7%
P2
58.8%
56.2%
P3
36.8%
59.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |