Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Kane wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.4% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 66.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 59.3%
Neutral zone
Kane 55.7%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kane
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kane
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kane
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (33)
55.4% (826)
-22.1%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
57.9% (221)
-15.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kane is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Kane shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Kane
O'Reilly
Home
35.0% (20)
55.8% (579)
Away
37.5% (32)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Kane
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
23.8%
54.8%
P3
38.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
36.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |