Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Kane wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kane 93.9%
Defensive zone
Kane 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kane 84.4%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Kane
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Kane
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kane 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
1
0
Kane
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
8
Kane
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kane
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,039)
56.2% (15,260)
-12.0%
Power Play
46.1% (360)
58.8% (3,445)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (79)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kane is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Kane shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Kane
O'Reilly
Home
45.8% (756)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
43.8% (722)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kane
O'Reilly
P1
44.4%
55.6%
P2
45.3%
57.0%
P3
45.2%
55.1%
OT
38.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |