Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.3% vs Malkin 50.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 87.3%
Neutral zone
Wagner 55.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Wagner
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wagner
Malkin
Last 5: Wagner 2-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Wagner
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (190)
50.5% (774)
-0.5%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
53.3% (92)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
10.0% (10)
+25.2%
On power play, Malkin has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Wagner is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Wagner shoots right. Malkin is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Wagner
Malkin
Home
50.0% (134)
49.1% (411)
Away
41.7% (115)
51.4% (465)
By Period
Wagner
Malkin
P1
48.8%
49.5%
P2
42.0%
54.7%
P3
48.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |