Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Malkin 48.7% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 70.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 88.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 72.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Bedard
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Bedard
Malkin
Last 8: Bedard 0-8 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
5
Bedard
Malkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Bedard
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
47.9% (776)
-9.0%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
66.7% (24)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Bedard
Malkin
Home
40.2% (246)
49.6% (405)
Away
37.8% (286)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Bedard
Malkin
P1
39.9%
49.6%
P2
38.5%
47.2%
P3
39.0%
48.5%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |