Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Perron wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 43.2% vs Malkin 44.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 72.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 65.7%
Neutral zone
Perron 63.1%
Result
David Perron favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Perron
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Perron
Malkin
Last 5: Perron 1-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
1
0
Perron
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Perron
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Perron
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (180)
43.6% (1,028)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Perron has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Perron is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Perron shoots right. Malkin is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Perron
Malkin
Home
40.2% (122)
44.2% (489)
Away
40.5% (116)
43.3% (563)
By Period
Perron
Malkin
P1
44.6%
40.9%
P2
35.1%
42.2%
P3
41.8%
48.5%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |