Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Malkin 49.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 74.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 96.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 93.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Lindholm
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lindholm
Malkin
Last 9: Lindholm 7-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
49.0% (811)
+8.7%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
55.8% (43)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
50.0% (2)
-1.4%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Malkin
Home
55.7% (760)
52.3% (438)
Away
55.8% (778)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Lindholm
Malkin
P1
53.7%
51.3%
P2
58.3%
50.8%
P3
55.1%
45.0%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |