Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Nazar 45.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.4%
Defensive zone
Nazar 67.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 50.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Malkin
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Malkin
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Nazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Malkin
Nazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
45.2% (314)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
39.5% (38)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.8% (29)
+55.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nazar
Home
47.5% (326)
43.4% (196)
Away
44.0% (307)
45.9% (185)
By Period
Malkin
Nazar
P1
49.3%
47.3%
P2
44.7%
40.3%
P3
42.3%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |