Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Compher 49.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 84.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 70.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Malkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Malkin
Compher
Last 8: Malkin 5-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Compher
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Malkin
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
48.9% (362)
-2.7%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
54.4% (103)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.3% (147)
-13.0%
On power play, Compher has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Malkin is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Malkin shoots left. Compher is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Malkin
Compher
Home
45.1% (450)
50.9% (316)
Away
46.4% (384)
47.3% (296)
By Period
Malkin
Compher
P1
48.2%
49.7%
P2
43.5%
50.9%
P3
46.0%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |