Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Compher 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 77.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Malkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Malkin
Compher
Last 8: Malkin 4-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Malkin
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
49.3% (1,149)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
53.9% (204)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.6% (312)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Malkin
Compher
Home
52.3% (438)
50.7% (872)
Away
46.2% (418)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Malkin
Compher
P1
51.3%
49.9%
P2
50.8%
47.9%
P3
45.0%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |