Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.1%). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Compher 45.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 73.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Malkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Compher
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Malkin
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
45.8% (847)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
40.8% (49)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.9% (117)
+58.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
Malkin
Compher
Home
47.5% (326)
45.1% (519)
Away
44.0% (307)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Malkin
Compher
P1
49.3%
45.8%
P2
44.7%
46.2%
P3
42.3%
43.2%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |