Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Spezza 52.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 72.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 70.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Malkin
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
53.7% (451)
-9.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
54.3% (92)
-24.3%
On power play, Spezza has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Malkin
Spezza
Home
45.5% (202)
55.0% (282)
Away
41.4% (174)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Malkin
Spezza
P1
48.4%
53.1%
P2
41.7%
53.2%
P3
40.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |