Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Veleno 47.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 52.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 65.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Malkin
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Malkin
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Malkin
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
3
Malkin
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
47.1% (420)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (8)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Malkin
Veleno
Home
47.5% (326)
47.8% (201)
Away
44.0% (307)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Malkin
Veleno
P1
49.3%
48.8%
P2
44.7%
47.9%
P3
42.3%
44.2%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |