Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Veleno 47.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Malkin
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Malkin
Veleno
Last 10: Malkin 1-9 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Malkin
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
8
Malkin
Veleno
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
47.4% (2,311)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
51.0% (98)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
36.4% (88)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Home / Away
Malkin
Veleno
Home
47.6% (5,395)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.6% (1,361)
By Period
Malkin
Veleno
P1
45.9%
48.0%
P2
46.2%
47.7%
P3
45.2%
45.9%
OT
49.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |