Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Toews 57.5% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 77.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Malkin
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
Toews
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Malkin
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
58.4% (1,115)
-14.8%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
61.3% (256)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.5% (182)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toews
Home
44.2% (489)
59.5% (783)
Away
43.3% (563)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Malkin
Toews
P1
40.9%
58.4%
P2
42.2%
59.4%
P3
48.5%
55.9%
OT
40.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |