Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Toews 61.9% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 55.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 82.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.1%
12.9%
87.1%
Malkin
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
61.1% (650)
-12.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
71.9% (192)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
59.6% (99)
-9.6%
On power play, Toews has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toews
Home
52.3% (438)
64.8% (560)
Away
46.2% (418)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Malkin
Toews
P1
51.3%
62.3%
P2
50.8%
63.9%
P3
45.0%
62.8%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |