Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Toews 60.3% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Malkin
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Malkin
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
62.5% (696)
-16.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
59.6% (141)
-25.0%
On power play, Toews has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toews
Home
50.4% (113)
60.9% (435)
Away
39.4% (132)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Malkin
Toews
P1
47.7%
59.8%
P2
44.9%
65.7%
P3
40.0%
58.8%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |